|MLB CHEAT SHEET||MLB POWER INDICATOR||TODAY'S TOP MATCHUPS||TODAY'S BEST SPLITS||STACKS TO TARGET||STARTING LINEUPS||TODAY'S SP RANKINGS|
Only seven games on the slate tonight so this slate is much easier to analyze than last night’s 15 game bonanza. Hopefully you joined chat last night because Trey Mancini making the lineup swayed my ideal roster construction from building around Freddie Freeman to building around Bryce Harper. That, of course, led to #buckies and should have made your night if you paired Harper with the Zack Greinke/Clayton Kershaw duo. Anyways, tonight’s slate is interesting because every offense has at least some aspect of downside. The wind is blowing in at the Ballpark in Arlington, Petco Park features a massive ground-baller and the Orioles are facing a guy who rarely allows hard contact. Therefore, you are going to have to take a stand on an offense knowing there is potential for basically any one of them to flop tonight. Having said that, there is still an offense that stands out to me and there are certainly pitchers that stand out as well. Without further ado, let’s get to work…
Note: all mentions of fantasy points are based on the scoring of both DraftKings (DK) and FantasyDraft (FDr) which are virtually identical
One starter stands out above all others on tonight’s slate and that guy is none other than Noah Syndergaard. Vegas absolutely loves him as the Phillies are only being implied to score 2.8 runs. By comparison, the Braves’ implied total is the second lowest at 3.3 runs so the Phillies are expected to score a whole half a run less than the next team…and it makes sense. Crazily, the Phillies so far this year are almost striking out at the exact same percentage they struck out last year at just over 23-percent. In fact, only eight teams have struck out at a higher percentage against right-handed pitching (RHP) heading into tonight so the K potential is certainly there for Syndergaard. Additionally, the Phillies have posted a mediocre 26.8-percent hard hit rate against the handedness so far which ranks seventh worst in the league. The one glaring weakness in Syndergaard’s game is his inability to hold runners but only three Phillies stole more than six bases against RHP in 2016: Cesar Hernandez (20), Odubel Herrera (17) and Freddy Galvis (15). Any of them certainly could swipe a bag against the worst pitcher in the league at holding runners but it is at least heartening to know they only really have one true speed threat (Hernandez). On top of this all, Syndergaard will be possibly be pitching with fake nails, because one of his broke, and that should only lead to more fastballs. Well, last year, the Phillies were the sixth worst hitting team against the pitch type. All aboard the Syndergaard train tonight on both one and two starting pitcher sites. Note: James Paxton, Carlos Martinez and Stephen Strasburg are the pitchers to consider in cash games for SP2 on two starting pitcher sites (probably in that order) and both Danny Duffy/Patrick Corbin make for incredibly interesting tournament plays.
Good luck tonight and feel free to hit me up on Twitter @RSandersDFS with any additional questions/concerns.